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Observability Baselines for Longitudinal Systems

Zachary C. Nickens

Baseline selection determines whether later diagnostics represent actual drift or instrumentation artifacts.

Working Criteria

  • Baselines should include known intervention windows.
  • Baselines should preserve seasonality and structural regime shifts.
  • Baselines should expose lag effects between signal and action.

Operational Direction

We are comparing baseline strategies across delayed-feedback operating environments and will publish tested templates in subsequent versions.